Sustainable Development of Export: Theoretical Meaning, Evaluation Model, and Empirical Research |
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作者单位: | China Institute for WTO Studies, University of International Business and Economics, Beijing 100029, China |
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基金项目: | assisted by the humanities and social sciences research Youth Fund Project of the Ministry of Education of China (Grant No. 06JC790008) |
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摘 要: | With the effect of the human trade doctrine in the international trade field, almost all the countries have paid more attention to the sustainable development of international trade. This article chose the export sustainable development as the research object. On the basis of the analysis of the theoretical connotation of the export sustainable development, this article tried to establish an evaluation indices system and set up an evaluation model of the export sustainable development level, and finally made some empirical research on China. The result indicates that the comprehensive level of the export sustainable development in China showed a tendency to rise from 1985 to 2003 and the export sustainable development level of China in these years can be divided into four grades: excellent, good, moderate and poor. In most years, the social economic benefits of export was obtained at the cost of the deterioration of environment and the depletion of resources, and the economic profit of export did not increase with the enlargement of the export scale because of the deterioration of the terms of trade. Therefore, China should be careful about the problem of poverty accompanied by the increase of export.
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关 键 词: | 对外贸易 经济研究 实验性研究 市场分析 |
Sustainable Development of Export: Theoretical Meaning, Evaluation Model, and Empirical Research |
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Authors: | Zhou Nianli |
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Institution: | China Institute for WTO Studies, University of International Business and Economics, Beijing 100029, China |
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Abstract: | With the effect of the human trade doctrine in the international trade field, almost all the countries have paid more attention to the sustainable development of international trade. This article chose the export sustainable development as the research object. On the basis of the analysis of the theoretical connotation of the export sustainable development, this article tried to establish an evaluation indices system and set up an evaluation model of the export sustainable development level, and finally made some empirical research on China. The result indicates that the comprehensive level of the export sustainable development in China showed a tendency to rise from 1985 to 2003 and the export sustainable development level of China in these years can be divided into four grades: excellent, good, moderate and poor. In most years, the social economic benefits of export was obtained at the cost of the deterioration of environment and the depletion of resources, and the economic profit of export did not increase with the enlargement of the export scale because of the deterioration of the terms of trade. Therefore, China should be careful about the problem of poverty accompanied by the increase of export. |
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Keywords: | export sustainable development grey correlation grey cluster empirical research |
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