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煤与瓦斯突出预测技术研究现状及发展趋势
引用本文:聂百胜,何学秋,王恩元,刘贞堂,撒占友.煤与瓦斯突出预测技术研究现状及发展趋势[J].中国安全科学学报,2003,13(6):40-43.
作者姓名:聂百胜  何学秋  王恩元  刘贞堂  撒占友
作者单位:1. 中国矿业大学,北京校区
2. 中国矿业大学
基金项目:国家自然科学基金重点项目资助(501340 4 0),国家自然科学基金资助项(59874028,50204010,50074030),国家杰出青年基金资助项目(59925411),国家十五攻关项目(2001BA803B0408),中国博士后科学基金资助项目(2002032120),江苏省自然科学基金资助项目(BK2001075)
摘    要:对矿井煤与瓦斯突出预测方法的研究现状及发展趋势进行了论述及分析。目前我国大量使用的是钻屑量S、钻孔瓦斯涌出初速度q、瓦斯解吸指标Δh2 、瓦斯放散指数ΔP等钻孔静态预测方法 ,这些方法花费大量的人力、物力和财力 ,而且准确性较低。而声发射和电磁辐射等方法是很有前途的预测方法。未来煤与瓦斯突出预测的发展趋势是 ,利用声发射监测技术对变形破裂剧烈区域进行定位 ,利用电磁辐射监测技术工作面非接触连续预测 ,再结合现有的环境监测系统监测的瓦斯动态涌出对煤与瓦斯突出现象进行准确预测

关 键 词:煤与瓦斯突出  预测技术  现状  发展趋势  电磁辐射  声发射
修稿时间:2003年1月1日

Present Situation and Progress Trend of Prediction Technology of Coal and Gas Outburst
Nie Baisheng.Present Situation and Progress Trend of Prediction Technology of Coal and Gas Outburst[J].China Safety Science Journal,2003,13(6):40-43.
Authors:Nie Baisheng
Abstract:Present situation and progress trend of prediction technology of coal and gas outburst in mines are described and analyzed. At present such drilling static methods as drilling yields S, initial rate of gas emission in drilling hole q, gaseous desorption index Δ h 2, gas release index Δ P are used widely. These methods consume huge amount of human, material and financial resources, yet the prediction accuracy is rather low. However, the acoustic emission (AE) technology and electromagnetic radiation (EMR) technology are dynamic methods having very good prospect. The progress trend for predicting the coal and gas outburst is to locate the zone of intensive deformation and fracture with AE technology, non contact and continuous predicting the outburst with EMR technology, combined with dynamic emission of the gas attained by the environmental monitoring system.
Keywords:Coal and gas outburst Prediction technology Present situation Progress trend Electromagnetic radiation  Acoustic emission
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