上海市郊区农业土地流转类型与土地利用变化响应差异性研究

在对农业用地流转机制进行深入分析的基础上，将农业土地流转市场划分为三种类型：政府引导型、集体推动型和农户主导型。进而结合农户调查数据，通过建立农业土地非耕地化流转的驱动力模型。分析不同类型的农业土地流转市场对于耕地利用变化的影响。模型运行结果表明：政府引导的农业土地流转导致耕地面积大幅减少，集体推动的流转有利于提高耕地利用效率。农户主导的农业土地流转促使了粮食作物种植面积的减少。最后以模型运行结果为依据，从保护农民土地权益、维持耕地总量平衡的角度提出相关建议。

Differences Study on Type of Farmland Market and Response of Land Use Change In the Surburbs of Shanghai

Based on the analysis of mechanism of farmland transfer,the farmland market is classified into three types: the first is leded by the governments,the second is driven by rural collectives and the third is settled by farmers.Then by using the feedbacks of the questionnaires,the linear regression models for the reasons why so many farmlands were changed into construction lands and so on are established to analyze plantation use changes influenced by different farmland markets.It shows that the farmland transfer leded by the governments reduces the amount of plantation largely,transfer driven by rural collectives is helpful for improving the efficiency of farmland use,transfer settled by farmers dacreases the grain area.At last,according to the results of these models,relevant suggestions are put forward from the angles of protecting farmers' land rights and keep the total amount of farmland.