首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
     

灾害造成人员伤亡价值损失的评估
引用本文:于庆东. 灾害造成人员伤亡价值损失的评估[J]. 防灾减灾工程学报, 2004, 24(2): 214-218
作者姓名:于庆东
作者单位:青岛大学工商管理系,山东,青岛,266071
基金项目:山东省自然科学基金资助项目 (Q99G13 )
摘    要:
根据灾害造成的人员伤亡的特点和灾害损失评估的目的 ,提出了评估灾害造成人员伤亡价值损失的基本原则 ,即系统化评估原则、从整个国家和社会的角度出发进行评估的原则、基于灾害后果的评估原则、“有无对比”的原则、货币计量与非货币计量相结合以货币计量为主的原则、不考虑沉没成本的原则和基于未来获利能力的原则。在给出灾害造成的人员伤亡的数量及其分布状况的假设后 ,应用人力资源价值理论 ,提出了评估灾害造成的人员伤亡价值损失的方法和模型。为采用统一价值尺度评估灾害损失提供了基础 ,也使得灾害损失评估理论与方法体系更趋于完善。

关 键 词:灾害损失  人员伤亡  价值损失
文章编号:1672-2132(2004)02-0214-05
修稿时间:2004-02-25

Evaluating Value Loss of Casualty Caused by Disasters
YU Qing-dong. Evaluating Value Loss of Casualty Caused by Disasters[J]. Journal of Disaster Prevention and Mitigation Engineering, 2004, 24(2): 214-218
Authors:YU Qing-dong
Abstract:
Based on the characteristics of casualty caused by disasters and the aim of disaster loss evaluation, the basic principles of evaluating value loss of casualty caused by disasters have been given, which consist of the principle of systematization evaluation, the principle of evaluating from the viewpoint of the whole country and society, the evaluation principle based on disaster result, the principle of 'with & without', the principle combining currency measurement and non-currency measurement and mainly using currency measurement, the principle of not considering sinking cost and the principle based on future profit-earning capability. After giving the hypothesis of casualty caused by disasters and its distribution, the evaluating methods and models of value loss of casualty caused by disasters have been studied by use of human resource value theory. The basic ideology of the method is that, based on the principle of 'with & without', the value loss of casualty caused by disasters equals the sum of the cost which is given to casualty by society to deal with the people and the difference between the value possibly created by the dead people during the period of "without disaster" and the value possibly created by the people during the period of "with disaster". According to the actual condition of casualty caused by the disasters, using individual value measurement and collectivity value measurement in the human resource theory respectively, the value possibly created by the people during the period of "without disaster" can be calculated. The value possibly created by the people during the period of "with disaster" equals 0, the value possibly created by the injured during the period of "with disaster" equals the product of the value possibly created by the people during the period of "without disaster" and the discount parameter determined by injured degree. The cost which is given to casualty by society to deal with the people need be calculated from the viewpoint of society considering capital time value simultaneously. The study provides a basis for evaluating disaster loss with the same value measure and also makes the system of theory and method for evaluating disaster loss more complete.
Keywords:disaster loss  casualty  value loss
本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录!
设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号