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风险管理决策方法探讨
引用本文:周荣义,李石林,黎忠文.风险管理决策方法探讨[J].中国安全科学学报,2008,18(11).
作者姓名:周荣义  李石林  黎忠文
作者单位:1. 湖南科技大学煤矿安全开采技术湖南省重点实验室,湘潭,411201
2. 深圳市地铁有限公司质安部,深圳,518026
基金项目:湖南省教育厅科研项目 , 湖南省2007年度安全生产科技发展计划项目  
摘    要:分析了影响企业风险管理决策的主要因素,如生存风险度、决策者的风险态度、决策方案的风险度及期望值;进而研究如何将主要因素有机结合并作为风险管理决策的准则,得出风险管理决策时应依次将生存风险度、决策者的风险态度、决策方案的风险度及期望值作为决策依据的论断;通过例证说明具体的风险管理决策过程。结果表明:笔者所研究出的风险管理决策准则与方法能为企业风险管理者提供指导和借鉴。

关 键 词:风险管理决策  准则  生存风险度  风险态度  期望值

Exploration on Decision-making Method for Risk Management
ZHOU Rong-yi,LI Shi-lin,LI Zhong-wen.Exploration on Decision-making Method for Risk Management[J].China Safety Science Journal,2008,18(11).
Authors:ZHOU Rong-yi  LI Shi-lin  LI Zhong-wen
Abstract:The factors such as survival risk,decision-maker's attitudes toward risk,risk degree and mathematic expected value of schemes,which chiefly affect the decision-making of risk management,are firstly analyzed.Then,how to form a decision-making principle of risk management by combining them together are studied,it is concluded that decision-making of risk management must be taken based on the priority of survival risk degree,decision-maker's attitudes toward risk,risk degree and mathematic expected value of schemes.Finally,an example is given,which illustrates that the principle studied by this paper may provide a guidance and reference for the managers to cope with enterprise risks.
Keywords:decision-making for risk management  principle  survival risk  attitude toward risk  expected value
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