工业设施受恐怖袭击风险评价方法研究进展

鉴于全球范围恐怖活动日益猖獗的形势,无论从学术研究还是维护社会安全稳定的角度,恐怖袭击都应作为一个重要的风险因素加以深入研究.恐怖袭击事故是由恐怖分子策划和实施的,其风险机理不同于系统失效或人为失误造成的事故机理.科学地分析、预测和预防恐怖袭击的风险成为当前安全科学领域面临的新课题.本文对国内外相关研究的进展做了较详细的评述,提出了对重要工业设施和公共设施在加强传统安全管理的同时要加强脆弱性评价和保安管理体系建设等建议.

Progress of risk assessment for terror attacks on industrial facilities

While the terrorism actions are getting rampant increasingly all over the world, the terror attack, as an important risk factor, should be studied thoroughly not only for academic profile but also for maintaining social security and stability. The terror attack is planned and issued by terrorists themselves, and its hazard source - terrorists have their own self- determination. Logically predicting the risk of terror attack has become a new issue in the field of safety science. Both home and abroad progress on related researches were reviewed in detail, It is suggested that security vulnerability assessment and security management system be implemented on important industrial and public facilities.