新形势下我国金融安全预警及安全策略

在日益融入金融全球化的新形势下 ,我国金融业存在严重安全隐患。这些隐患的形成原因既具有和其他开放发展中国家一致的共性特征 ,也和我国处于经济转型的特定历史阶段相关。笔者对我国新形势下金融安全问题进行了较为详细的分析 ,并结合历次国际金融危机 ,尤其是东亚金融危机的教训和我国的实际 ,提出了构建我国金融安全预警指标体系与预警机制以及相关配套措施 ,以维护我国金融安全。特别是创造性地提出了我国金融安全监测预警指标系统至少应包括 3个层次 ,即国家宏观经济运行指标、金融机构安全监测预警指标和货币安全监测预警指标 ,以及要从全方位、多层次采取措施。

Pre-warning and Strategy of Financial Security in China under New Situation

Under new situation of financial globalization, there exist some critical problems of financial security in China. Some causes are similar to those happened in other developing countries, and some are associated with specific historical economic transition stage in China. All these are analyzed in detail. Referring the lessons of previous global financial crises, especially that of Southeast Asia and the reality in China, suggestion to construct pre-warning index system of financial security and pre-warning mechanism and other relevant supplementary measures is put forward. In order to safeguard the financial security in China and most importantly, it is pointed out in a creative way that the warning index system in China should include at least three levels: national macro economic operation index, pre-warning index for financial institution and currency security. Inclusive measures at different levels should be taken.