| 我国自然灾害时空分布及其粮食风险评估 |
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| 引用本文： | 江丽,安萍莉.我国自然灾害时空分布及其粮食风险评估[J].灾害学,2011,26(1):48-53,59. |
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| 作者姓名： | 江丽 安萍莉 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国农业大学,资源与环境学院土地资源管理系,北京,100193 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家科技支撑项目“综合生态与食物安全风险防范关键技术示范”(2006BAD20B07) |
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| 摘 要： | 分析了旱灾、水灾、风雹灾、霜冻灾、台风灾和农业病虫害、草害、鼠害8种自然灾害的时空分布情况,计算了其造成的历年粮食减产量,并在此基础上评估2020年自然灾害对粮食产量的影响。结果表明,2020年不同自然灾害对我国各省粮食生产的影响程度不同。旱灾风险区集中在我国北方地区,分布在黄淮海区、西北区等;涝灾风险区集中在我国南方地区,分布在长江中下游区等;风雹灾风险区对我国粮食产量影响相对较小,主要分布在新疆和青海;台风灾风险区集中在我国南方沿海地区;农业病虫害风险区集中在我国的南方地区,分布在华南沿海区和西南区等;而霜冻灾、农业草害、鼠害对粮食生产的影响范围和影响程度较小。
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| 关 键 词： | 自然灾害 时空分布 粮食风险评估 2020年 |
Temporal and Spatial Distribution and Grain Risk Assessment of Natural Disasters in China |
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| Jiang Li,An Pingli.Temporal and Spatial Distribution and Grain Risk Assessment of Natural Disasters in China[J].Journal of Catastrophology,2011,26(1):48-53,59. |
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| Authors: | Jiang Li An Pingli |
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| Institution: | Jiang Li and An Pingli(Department of Land Resources Management,College of Resources and Environment,China Agricultural University,Beijing 100193,China) |
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| Abstract: | The major disasters including droughts,floods,wind and hail disasters,frost disasters,typhoon disasters,agricultural pests,agricultural weeds and agricultural rodents are studied,and spatial and temporal distribution of eight kinds of disasters is analyzed.The deduction of agricultural production over the years caused by these disasters is calculated and the influence of natural hazards on grain yield in China in 2020 is assessed.The results show that different natural hazards cause different impacts on gra... |
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| Keywords: | natural hazards spatial and temporal distribution risk assessment 2020 |
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