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江苏省梅雨及其灾害影响评估分析
引用本文:田心如,姜爱军,高苹,张章.江苏省梅雨及其灾害影响评估分析[J].灾害学,2004,19(1):40-45.
作者姓名:田心如  姜爱军  高苹  张章
作者单位:江苏省气象科技开发应用中心,江苏,南京,210009
基金项目:科技部科技基础条件平台建设计划
摘    要:根据江苏省近50年来的梅雨资料,用数学统计方法对入、出梅的迟早作了定义,考虑到梅期的长短、梅雨量及暴雨日数等3个因子,给出了梅雨强度计算模型及梅期旱涝指标,并分析了江苏省淮河以南地区近50年来梅期旱涝分布特征,最后阐述了入梅迟早对旱涝灾害的影响.

关 键 词:梅雨  入梅  出梅  梅雨强度  旱涝  影响评估  江苏
文章编号:1000-811X(2004)01-0040-06
修稿时间:2003年9月1日

Plum Rains in Jiangsu Province and the Evaluation of the Disaster Effects
TIAN Xin-ru,JIANG Ai-jun,GAO Ping,ZHANG Zhang.Plum Rains in Jiangsu Province and the Evaluation of the Disaster Effects[J].Journal of Catastrophology,2004,19(1):40-45.
Authors:TIAN Xin-ru  JIANG Ai-jun  GAO Ping  ZHANG Zhang
Abstract:Based on the data of plum rain in recent 50 years in Jiangsu province, the time when plum rains start and end is defined by mathematic means. Considering plum rain duration and rainfall and days of rainstorm, a model for calculating the intensity of plum rains and indexes in assessing drought and waterlogging are given. Distribution characteristics of drought and waterlogging in the course of plum rains are analyzed. Finally, effects of the starting time of plum rains on drought and waterlogging are expatiated.
Keywords:plum rain  the time when plum rain start  the time when plum rain end  intensity of plum rain  drought and waterlogging  Jiangsu province
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