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Calibrate failure-based risk assessments to take into account the type of chemical processed in equipment
Authors:Nir Keren  Sumit Anand  M Sam Mannan
Institution:

aDepartment of Agricultural and Biosystems Engineering, Iowa State University, 102 Industrial Education Building II, Ames, IA 5001-3130, USA

bSumit Anand, Kellogg Brown & Root, 601 Jefferson Avenue, Houston, TX 77001, USA

cMary Kay O’Connor Process Safety Center, Department of Chemical Engineering, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX 77843-3122, USA

Abstract:Currently, failure-based risk assessments in the process industry do not empirically take into account the type of chemicals processed in equipment, mainly because chemical-specific failure rate data barely exist. This paper suggests a methodology to calibrate failure-based risk assessment predicated on the chemical being processed in equipment. The methodology uses a data mining tool known as the association rule. Specifically, the lift association rule is utilized (the Lift Methodology). By extracting equipment failure information from incident databases based on the chemical involved in the process, the Lift Methodology leads to more accurate equipment-related risk assessment.
Keywords:Risk assessment  Equipment failure rates  Incident databases  Lift Methodology
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