| 建筑节能对建筑能耗的直接经济和环境影响测算模型及其实证分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 刘秀丽,汪寿阳,杨翠红. 建筑节能对建筑能耗的直接经济和环境影响测算模型及其实证分析[J]. 中国人口．资源与环境, 2008, 18(6) |
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| 作者姓名： | 刘秀丽 汪寿阳 杨翠红 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院系统所,北京,100190 |
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| 基金项目： | 住房和城乡建设部课题,国家自然科学基金,中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院院长科研基金,中国科学院知识创新工程项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 当前节能减排是我国各级政府的主要工作任务.十一五建筑节能目标占社会总节能目标的21%,建筑节能是我国节能工作的重要内容.本研究采用数量经济方法,建立建筑节能对建筑能耗的直接经济和环境影响测算模型.在合理的情景假定下.应用该模型测算,得出结论:十一五建筑节能目标的各项分解任务和总的节能任务可在3年内完成.3年中每年的建筑节能量对十一五期间平均每年节能任务的贡献率分别是17.28%,34.55%,51.83%.3年中每年因建筑节能而减少的主要污染物的排放量对十一五期间平均每年减排任务的贡献率分别是76%,152%和228%.最后提出既有建筑节能改造的节能任务可以适当增加的政策建议.
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| 关 键 词： | 建筑节能 经济影响 环境影响 数量经济模型 |
Evaluate Model of Direct Economic and Environmental Impacts of Building Energy Efficiency on Building Energy Consumption and Its Demonstration |
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| LIU Xiu-li,WANG Shou-yang,YANG Cui-hong. Evaluate Model of Direct Economic and Environmental Impacts of Building Energy Efficiency on Building Energy Consumption and Its Demonstration[J]. China Polulation.Resources and Environment, 2008, 18(6) |
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| Authors: | LIU Xiu-li WANG Shou-yang YANG Cui-hong |
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| Affiliation: | LIU Xiu-li WANG Shou-yang YANG Cui-hong (Academy of Mathematics , Systems Science,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100190,China) |
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| Abstract: | At present,an important task for Chinese governments at all levels is to save energy and reduce pollutant emissions.The task of building energy efficiency accounts for 21% of the total energy-saving task in the 11th Five Year Plan.This paper established a quantitative economics model to evaluate the direct economic and environmental impact of building energy efficiency on building energy consumption.Under a reasonable scenario,by using evaluate model,and analyzing the results,we drew the conclusions that th... |
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| Keywords: | building energy efficiency economic impact environmental impact quantitative economics model |
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