长江经济带战略性新兴产业创新能力时空演化及空间溢出效应

基于产业创新指数,运用空间计量模型对2001～2016年长江经带战略性新兴产业创新能力发展水平时空演化格局及溢出效应深入分析。研究发现:(1)长江经济带战略性新兴产业创新能力总体增幅迅猛,但空间差异总体呈扩大态势。创新能力空间非均衡性特征显著,"东强西弱"地带性格局稳固;(2)长江经济带战略性新兴产业创新能力存在显著的空间正相关,长三角地区形成稳定的热点区,冷点区域增加,环城市群地带形成稳定的冷点区;(3)战略性新兴产业各细分产业创新能力发展状态不一,高端装备制造产业、新材料产业、新能源汽车产业呈多核心轴带模式演化,新一代信息技术产业呈单中心极化模式演化,节能环保产业、生物产业、新能源产业呈多核心组团模式演化;(4)战略性新兴产业创新能力存在空间溢出效应,除人力资源外,经济发展水平、产业结构、政府政策、对外联系水平、创新环境产生明显正向效应。

Spatial-temporal Evolution and Spillover Effects of Strategic Emerging Industry Innovation Ability in the Yangtze River Economic Belt

Abstract：Based on the industrial innovation index, the spatial econometric model is used to analyze the spatial and temporal evolution pattern and spillover effect of the innovation capability development of strategic emerging industries in the Yangtze river economic belt from 2001 to 2016. The research finds that :(1) the innovation capacity of strategic emerging industries in the Yangtze river economic belt increases rapidly on the whole, but the spatial difference is expanding on the whole. The spatial non-equilibrium of innovation capability is remarkable, and the “east is strong and west is weak” zonal pattern is stable. (2) the innovation capacity of strategic emerging industries in the Yangtze river economic belt is significantly positively correlated in space. Hot spots in the Yangtze river delta region are stable, while cold spots are increasing. (3) strategic emerging industries each subdivision industry innovation ability development state is differ, high-end equipment manufacturing industry, new material industry, new energy automobile industry are the core shaft schema evolution, a new generation of information technology industry is single center polarization mode evolution, energy conservation and environmental protection industry, biological industry, new energy industry is the core group schema evolution; (4) spatial spillover effect exists in innovation capacity of strategic emerging industries. In addition to human resources, economic development level, industrial structure, government policy, external contact level and innovation environment produce obvious positive effects.