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Prediction of diffuse solar radiation using satellite data
Authors:Kadir Bakirci  Yusuf Kirtiloglu
Institution:1. Department of Mechanical Engineering, Atatürk University, Erzurum, Turkey;2. Vocation School of Higher Education, Erzincan University, Erzincan, Turkey
Abstract:In the project of the solar systems, the values of the solar radiation of a region must be known. The global solar radiation measurements are performed by the Turkish Meteorological Service in Turkey, while the diffuse solar radiation measurements are unavailable. In this study, some new models for predicting the monthly average daily diffuse solar radiation on a horizontal surface for Erzincan, Turkey are developed using satellite data. The evaluation of the models is carried out with the statistical analysis methods of mean bias error (MBE), root mean square error (RMSE) and correlation coefficient (r). The results are proved that the correlation equations obtained in here can be used to forecast diffuse solar radiation reasonably well.
Keywords:Clearness index  diffuse solar radiation  model  satellite data  solar energy
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