山东省森林资源与木材供需平衡模型的建立与应用

本文在对山东省森林资源和木材供需平衡状况进行系统分析的基础上，利用系统动力学方法建立了山东省森林资源与木材供需平衡模型，通过对不同方案的政策仿真和结果分析，试图提出解决山东省木材供需矛盾的最佳途径，为制定林业发展政策提供依据。

THE ESTABLISHMENT AND APPLICATION OF THE SUPPLY AND DEMAND EQUILIBRIUM MODEL OF THE FOREST RESOURCE AND TIMBER IN SHANDONG PROVINCE

On the basis of a systematic analysis of the equilibrium state of the supply and demand of the forest resource arid timber in Shandong Province, a equilibrium model of the supply and demand of the forest resource and timber of the province is developed by using the method of system dynamics. The best way for resolving the contradiction about the supply and demand of timber is pointed out through the policy simulation and result analysis of different schemes. This will provide valuable foundations for drawing up the forestry development policies.