A Bayesian approach to probabilistic ecological risk assessment: risk comparison of nine toxic substances in Tokyo surface waters |
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Authors: | Takehiko I. Hayashi Nobuhisa Kashiwagi |
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Affiliation: | (1) Research Center for Environmental Risk, National Institute for Environmental Studies, 16-2 Onogawa, Tsukuba Ibaraki, 305-8506, Japan;(2) The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, 10-3 Midori-cho, Tachikawa Tokyo, 190-8562, Japan |
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Abstract: | Background, aim, and scope Quantitative risk comparison of toxic substances is necessary to decide which substances should be prioritized to achieve effective risk management. This study compared the ecological risk among nine major toxic substances (ammonia, bisphenol-A, chloroform, copper, hexavalent chromium, lead, manganese, nickel, and zinc) in Tokyo surface waters by adopting an integrated risk analysis procedure using Bayesian statistics. |
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