江苏及邻近地区中强地震的迁移活动规律初探

根据江苏省及其邻区中强地震目录，研究了扬铜带东段的地震活动特征，发现地震活动的南北跳跃的迁移规律，迁移周期约为５～１０年，用马尔科夫过程得出未来中强震发震最大可能地点为溧阳一带，其次为南黄海近海

PRELIMINARILY PROBING INTO MIGRATORY LAW OF MODERATE EARTHQUAKES IN JIANGSU PROVINCE AND ADJACENT AREA

Based on the moderate earthquake catalogue of Jiangsu Province and adjacent area, the seismicity characteristics of the east segment of Yangzhou Tongling seismic zone have been studied, the south north leap migration of seismic action was discovered. There is a period for 5～10 years of seismic migration in the area. Markov chain method indicate that Liyang area has a maximum earthquake occurrence probability, second is off south Yellow Sea.