| 灰色系统GM（1，1）模型预测滇池草海水污染 |
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| 引用本文： | 梁启斌,王伟,唐光明. 灰色系统GM（1，1）模型预测滇池草海水污染[J]. 云南环境科学, 2009, 28(4): 75-77 |
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| 作者姓名： | 梁启斌 王伟 唐光明 |
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| 作者单位： | 梁启斌,LIANG Qi-bin(西南林学院环境科学与工程系,云南,昆明,650224);王伟,唐光明,WANG Wei,TANG Guang-ming(云南省环境科学研究院工程中心,云南,昆明,650034) |
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| 摘 要： | 采用灰色系统理论建立预测滇池草海水污染的GM（1，1）模型，结果显示，滇池草海中的CODMn、TP和TN都呈增长趋势。通过对模型的残差及关联度进行检验，所建模型合格，预测结果可为滇池草海的污染治理及科学管理提供辅助决策依据。
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| 关 键 词： | GM(1,1)模型 水污染预测 滇池 |
Prediction of the Dianchi Lake Water Pollution by Grey System GM(1,1) |
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| LIANG Qi-bin,WANG Wei,TANG Guang-ming. Prediction of the Dianchi Lake Water Pollution by Grey System GM(1,1)[J]. Yunnan Environmental Science, 2009, 28(4): 75-77 |
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| Authors: | LIANG Qi-bin WANG Wei TANG Guang-ming |
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| Affiliation: | LIANG Qi - bin , WANG Wei, TANG Guang - ming (Southwest Forestry College, Kuming Yunnan 650224 China) |
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| Abstract: | GM （ 1, 1 ）, which is based on the grey system theory, is used to predict the water pollution of Dianchi lake. The results indicate the increasing trend of CODmn and TP and TN in Dianchi lake. The GM （ 1, 1 ） is qualified by testing the residual error and correlation degree of the model. The results of prediction can provide the auxiliary decision basis for pollution treatment and scientific management of Dianchi lake. |
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| Keywords: | grey model （ 1, 1 ） water pollution prediction Dianchi lake |
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