| 基于系统动力学的井喷事故仿真研究 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 吉安民,何沙.基于系统动力学的井喷事故仿真研究[J].中国安全科学学报,2011,21(10). |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 吉安民 何沙 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 1. 西南石油大学研究生部,四川成都,610500
2. 西南石油大学发展规划处,四川成都,610500 |
| |
| 基金项目： | 四川石油与天然气发展研究中心2010年基金资助 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 为动态预测井喷事故发展过程,在分析导致井喷事故主要因素的基础上,结合系统动力学的相关原理,构建井喷事故系统仿真流图,并运用系统动力学仿真软件Vensim对井喷事故的整体流程进行仿真,实现了对油气井安全水平的动态监测和预警。结果表明:井喷事故的发生是由人为因素、管理因素、环境因素、设备因素和法律法规因素四大子系统的交叉耦合作用而导致整个油气井系统的安全水平低于井喷事故的安全临界点所造成的。
|
| 关 键 词： | 井喷事故 安全水平 系统动力学 致因因素 仿真模拟 |
Study on Simulation of Blowout Accidents Based on System Dynamics |
| |
| JI An-min,HE Sha.Study on Simulation of Blowout Accidents Based on System Dynamics[J].China Safety Science Journal,2011,21(10). |
| |
| Authors: | JI An-min HE Sha |
| |
| Institution: | JI An-min1 HE Sha2(1 Graduate Department,Southwest Petroleum University,Chengdu Sichuan610500,China 2 Development Planning Department,China) |
| |
| Abstract: | In order to forecast the development process of blowout accident dynamically,a system simulation flow chart for blowout accident was built combined with the relevant principles of System Dynamic and based on the analysis of blowout accident main influential factors.The System Dynamic simulation software Vensim was used to simulate the overall process of blowout accident.Monitoring and early warning of oil and gas wells dynamically were achieved.The research results indicate that the blowout accident is caus... |
| |
| Keywords: | blowout accident safety level system dynamics causation factor simulation |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
|
