基于MSIASM方法的中国不同区域社会代谢分析

通过社会代谢多尺度综合分析方法,评价东北、华北、西北、西南、华中、华东2003年和2007年的社会代谢状况,并结合社会代谢多尺度综合分析与因素分解等方法进行对比分析,识别出限制区域可持续发展的关键因素。结果表明,华北、东北、西北、华中和华东区迫切需要采取措施调整区域产业结构;西南区亟需加大资本技术的引进力度,以解决不同区域经济发展中的资本技术聚集与区域产业结构的不协调问题。从与2003年的对比来看,2007年社会负担出现南方转移到北方的倾向,而且除东北地区外其他地区的资源品质和数量与技术水平的改善状况与社会发展需求不相协调,致使六大区的社会代谢状况略显异常。

Societal metabolism for China's six main regions based on multi-scale integrated analysis of societal metabolism(MSIASM)

This study adopted the method of multi-scale integrated analysis of societal metabolism（MSIASM） to evaluate six main regions’ societal metabolism.Combining complete decomposition analysis and MSIASM methods,we identified the key factors for the sustainable development of six main regions,and proposed that the northeast,the north,the southeast,the central,and the east of China needed to fasten industrial restructure and the southwest of China needed to improve the quality and quantity of resources and the aggregated levels of technologies.Compared with the year of 2003,in the year of 2007 six main regions’ societal metabolism was lightly anomaly,which means that the social burden was transferred from southern China to northern China.Another finding is that except the northeast of China,other main regions cannot keep harmonious development due to imbalanced allocation of various resources and technologies.