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Exploring the effect of air pollution on settlement intentions from migrants: Evidence from China
Institution:1. School of Economics and Management, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou 221116, China;2. School of Economics and Management, Xidian University, Xi''an 710071, China;3. Center for Environmental Management and Economics Policy Research, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou 221116, China;1. School of Management Science and Real Estate, Chongqing University, Chongqing, China;2. Department of Construction Engineering and Management, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN, USA;3. College of Engineering, Architecture, and Technology, Oklahoma State University, Stillwater, OK, USA;1. School of Economics and Management, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou 221116, China;2. Center for Environmental Management and Economics Policy Research, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou 221116, China;1. School of Geography and Planning, Sun Yat-sen University, 135 West Xingang Road, Guangzhou, Guangdong 510275, China;2. School of Urban Design, Wuhan University, 229 Bayi Road, Wuhan, Hubei 430072, China;3. School of Public Administration, Zhongnan University of Economics and Law, 182 South Lake Avenue, Wuhan, Hubei 430073, China
Abstract:Based on the China Migrants Dynamic Survey (CMDS) from 2015 to 2017, this paper uses IV-Probit model to investigate the effects of air pollution on migrants' settlement intentions in China. The results show that: First, air pollution has a significant and negative effect on intentions in settling down of the migrants. Specifically, when the concentration of PM2.5 increases by 1 μg/m3, the probability of migrants settling down in the city which they have moved to for work or business will significantly decrease by 1.89%. Second, there is heterogeneity in the effects of air pollution on migrants' settlement intentions. In detail, the sensitivity to air pollution is higher among female groups, who have higher education levels and prefer better air quality in the living place to settle down, and there is an inverted U-shaped relationship between age and settlement intentions. On the one hand, the conclusion of this paper enriches the relevant theoretical achievements of air pollution and migration. On the other hand, it also has a high reference value for developing more reasonable policies related to urban environmental governance and labor mobility.
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