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Risk communication in emergency response to a simulated extreme flood
Authors:Simon McCarthy  Sylvia Tunstall  Dennis Parker  Hazel Faulkner  Joe Howe
Institution:aFlood Hazard Research Centre, Middlesex University, Queensway, Enfield EN3 4SA, UK;bLiverpool John Moores University, UK
Abstract:Risk communication in flood incident management can be improved through developing hydrometeorological and engineering models used as tools for communicating risk between scientists and emergency management professionals. A range of such models and tools was evaluated by participating flood emergency managers during a 4-day, real-time simulation of an extreme event in the Thamesmead area in the Thames estuary close to London, England. Emergency managers have different communication needs and value new tools differently, but the indications are that a range of new tools could be beneficial in flood incident management. Provided they are communicated large model uncertainties are not necessarily unwelcome among flood emergency managers. Even so they are cautious about sharing the ownership of weather and flood modelling uncertainties.
Keywords:Flooding  Risk communication  Forecasting  Warning  Inundation  Modelling  Emergency services  Local authorities  Ensembles  Uncertainty  Decision making  Breach  Simulation
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