| 热带气旋的短期气候预报检验 |
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| 引用本文： | 谢定升,梁凤仪.热带气旋的短期气候预报检验[J].灾害学,2002,17(2):32-36. |
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| 作者姓名： | 谢定升 梁凤仪 |
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| 作者单位： | 广州中心气象台 ,广东,广州,510080 |
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| 摘 要： | 用非线性预报的方法，作西太平洋、南海、以及登陆我国、登陆广东热带气旋的短期气候预测，用逐日气压场作登陆广东热带气旋的时段和地段以及南海海面带气旋出现的时间的气候预测。对近3年的热带气候预报进行检验，效果较满意。
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| 关 键 词： | 热带气旋 气候预测 效果检验 |
| 文章编号： | 1000-811X(2002)02-0032-05 |
| 修稿时间： | 2001年11月15 |
Test of Tropical Cyclone in Short-Range Climate Prediction |
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| XIE Ding-sheng,LIANG Feng-yi.Test of Tropical Cyclone in Short-Range Climate Prediction[J].Journal of Catastrophology,2002,17(2):32-36. |
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| Authors: | XIE Ding-sheng LIANG Feng-yi |
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| Abstract: | By use of the non-linear forecast method, tropical cyclone that generated in the Western Pacific or South China Sea (SCS) and landed in Guangdong and other places in China are predicted. Using the data of daily pressure field, the time and location of tropical cyclone that landed in Guangdong and the time of occurrence of tropical cyclone in SCS are also predicted. The tests of short-term climate prediction of tropical cyclone in recent 3 years get a satisfactory result. |
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| Keywords: | tropical cyclone climate prediction result test |
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