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Spatial and Temporal Variations in Phosphorus Loads in the Illinois River Basin,Illinois USA
Authors:Gregory F McIsaac  Timothy O Hodson  Momcilo Markus  Rabin Bhattarai  Daniel Chulgi Kim
Institution:1. Department of Natural Resources and Environmental Sciences, University of Illinois Champaign Urbana, Urbana, Illinois, USA;2. U.S. Geological Survey, Central Midwest Water Science Center, Urbana, Illinois, USA

Contribution: Data curation, Formal analysis, ?Investigation, Methodology, Writing - original draft, Writing - review & editing;3. Illinois State Water Survey, Prairie Research Institute, University of Illinois Urbana Champaign, Champaign, Illinois, USA

Contribution: Conceptualization, Formal analysis, Funding acquisition, ?Investigation, Methodology, Project administration, Supervision, Writing - original draft, Writing - review & editing;4. Agricultural and Biological Engineering Department, University of Illinois Champaign Urbana, Urbana, Illinois, USA

Contribution: Conceptualization, Formal analysis, Funding acquisition, ?Investigation, Methodology, Project administration, Writing - review & editing;5. Agricultural and Biological Engineering Department, University of Illinois Champaign Urbana, Urbana, Illinois, USA

Contribution: Formal analysis, ?Investigation, Methodology, Visualization, Writing - review & editing

Abstract:Total phosphorus (TP) loads in many rivers in the north-central United States have increased, including the Illinois River at Valley City, Illinois, USA, which increased 39% from the periods 1989–1996 to 2015–2019 despite efforts to reduce loads from point and nonpoint sources. Here, we quantify long-term variations in phosphorus (P) loads in the Illinois River and its tributaries and identify factors that may be causing the variations. We calculated river loads of dissolved (DP) and particulate P (PP), total and volatile suspended solids (TSS and VSS), and other potentially related constituents at 41 locations. DP loads generally increased and PP and TSS loads generally decreased from 1989–1996 to 2015–2019. During 1989–1996, P accumulated in the lower basin between Marseilles and Valley City (excluding monitored tributaries). This portion of the basin is very flat and accumulates sediment. During 2015–2019, this section shifted from being a net sink to being a net source of P, accounting for 78% of the increased TP load at Valley City. We present evidence supporting several mechanisms that could have caused this shift: increased DP and chloride loads, reduced sulfate and nitrate concentrations influencing ionic strength and redox potential in the sediments, and increased VSS loads at Valley City possibly indicating greater algal production and contributing to hypoxia in lower river sediments. Additional research is needed to quantify the relative importance of these mechanisms.
Keywords:phosphorus  freshwater  point source  nonpoint source
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