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汾渭地震带地震发生的灰色灾变预测
引用本文:许俊奇.汾渭地震带地震发生的灰色灾变预测[J].灾害学,1990(3).
作者姓名:许俊奇
作者单位:陕西省地震局
摘    要:本文应用灰色理论中的灾变预测方法,建立了汾渭地震带中强震发生时间的灰色预测模型。并对未来中强震的发震时间进行了预测。

关 键 词:地震预测  汾渭地震带  灰色理论

GREY CATASTROPHE FORECAST OF OCCURRING TIME OF FUTURE STRONG EARTHQUAKES IN FENWEI SEISMIC BELT
Xu Junqi.GREY CATASTROPHE FORECAST OF OCCURRING TIME OF FUTURE STRONG EARTHQUAKES IN FENWEI SEISMIC BELT[J].Journal of Catastrophology,1990(3).
Authors:Xu Junqi
Institution:Seismological Bureau.of Shaanxi Province
Abstract:A grey prediction model of occurring time of midium and strong earthquake in the Fenwei seismic belt has been obtained according to the method of ca- tastrophe forecast in the grey theory.Then the occurring times of medium and strong earthquakes in the future have been predicated based on the model.
Keywords:Earthquake prediction  Fenwei seismic belt  Grey theory  
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