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Trends in motor vehicle crash mortality in Europe, 1980-2007
Authors:Chiara Orsi  Paola Bertuccio
Institution:a Centro Interdipartimentale di Studi e Ricerche sulla Sicurezza Stradale, Dipartimento di Scienze Sanitarie Applicate e Psicocomportamentali, Università degli Studi di Pavia, Via Bassi 21, 27100 Pavia, Italy
b Dipartimento di Epidemiologia, Istituto di Ricerche Farmacologiche “Mario Negri”, Via La Masa 19, 20156 Milan, Italy
c Unité d’epidémiologie du cancer et Registres Vaudois et Neuchâtelois des Tumeurs, Institut de médecine sociale et préventive (IUMSP), Centre Hospitalier Universitaire Vaudois et Université de Lausanne, CHUV-Falaises 1, 1011 Lausanne, Switzerland
d Dipartimento di Medicina del Lavoro, Università degli Studi di Milano, Via Commenda 10, 20122 Milan, Italy
Abstract:Recent trends (1980-2007) in mortality from road traffic crashes in European countries, and, for comparative purposes, in the USA and Japan were reviewed. Data came from the World Health Organisation database. Age-standardised rates, at all ages and at 15-24, 25-64, ?65 years, were computed. Joinpoint regression analyses to evaluate significant changes in trends were performed. In the European Union as a whole rates declined from 20.2 in 1987 to 13.5/100,000 in 2007 in men, and from 6.3 to 3.7/100,000 in women; European Union rates remained lower than USA, but higher than Japanese ones. In 2007, the highest male rates were in Lithuania (36.7/100,000), the Russian Federation (35.2), Ukraine (29.8), and Latvia (28.5), and the lowest ones in the Netherlands (6.2) and Sweden (6.9); the highest female rates were in the Russian Federation (11.3), Lithuania (9.7), Belarus, Latvia, and Ukraine (around 8), and the lowest ones in Switzerland (1.7), the UK, and Nordic countries (around 2). Mortality from motor vehicle crashes declined in northern and western European countries and - though to a lesser extent - in southern European countries, too. Mortality trends were also favourable in the Czech Republic and Poland since the mid 1990’s, whereas they were still upwards in Romania and the Russian Federation. No trend was observed in Hungary and Ukraine. Trends were consistent in various age groups considered. Thus, additional urgent and integrated intervention is required to prevent avoidable deaths from motor vehicle crashes, particularly in selected central and eastern European countries.
Keywords:Road traffic crashes  Mortality  International comparisons  Trends  Joinpoint regression
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