第二代人的可靠性分析方法的进展

在探讨第一代人的可靠性分析 (HRA)方法的局限性之后 ,笔者进而探讨第二代HRA方法的模型 ,建立在多种学科 (认知心理学、行为科学、可靠性工程等 )相互结合的基础上 ,又着重研究产生人的行为 /绩效的情景环境以及它们是如何影响人的行为 /动作的 ,并与工业系统的运行经验和现场或模拟机获得的信息紧密结合。重点介绍了以“失误分析技术”(ATHEANA)和“认知可靠性和失误分析方法”(CREAM)为代表的第二代HRA方法。它们是当前HRA领域中的具有应用和发展前景的新框架思想。

Progress in the Second Generation of HRA

The limitation of the first generation of HRA is discussed. The second generation of HRA is based on the interaction of multiple sciences such as cognitive psychology, behavior science and reliability engineering, emphasizing on the research of situation environment under which people work and make errors, especially closely integrated with operation experience in industrial system and the information obtained from simulators or on site. Two representative HRA methods (ATHEANA and CREAM) for the second generation were emphatically introduced, which are based on the advanced frameworks and with the practical significance for future application in PSA/HRA.