| 地形环境因素对塔河林业局人为森林火灾发生的影响 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 苏漳文,宋禹辉,郭福涛,杨婷婷,王文辉,刘爱琴. 地形环境因素对塔河林业局人为森林火灾发生的影响[J]. 火灾科学, 2015, 24(1): 16-25 |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 苏漳文 宋禹辉 郭福涛 杨婷婷 王文辉 刘爱琴 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 福建农林大学,福州,350002 |
| |
| 基金项目： | 福建农林大学重点大学建设基金（6112C035）;国家自然科学基金（31400552） |
| |
| 摘 要： | 应用1974年—2009年间人为火的空间地理坐标,结合研究地的基础地理信息及矢量化林相图,应用ArcGIS10.0中的空间分析工具和SPSS19.0的逻辑斯蒂回归模型深入分析地形环境因素对人为火发生的影响。研究结果表明"到铁路距离"对人为火的影响显著,其次,在1∶1和1∶3选取随机点条件下人为火发生分别与"优势树种"和"林型"显著相关。本文研究显示在运用"随机点"方法进行相关性分析时,随机点选取数量对模型拟合结果有一定影响。
|
| 关 键 词： | 北方针叶林 塔河地区 人为火 地形环境 逻辑斯蒂回归 |
| 收稿时间： | 2014-12-18 |
| 修稿时间： | 2015-01-13 |
Influence of geographical and environmental factors on human-caused fires in Tahe area |
| |
| SU Zhangwen,SONG Yuhui,GUO Futao,YANG Tingting,WANG Wenhui and LIU Aiqin. Influence of geographical and environmental factors on human-caused fires in Tahe area[J]. Fire Safety Science, 2015, 24(1): 16-25 |
| |
| Authors: | SU Zhangwen SONG Yuhui GUO Futao YANG Tingting WANG Wenhui LIU Aiqin |
| |
| Affiliation: | Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University, Fuzhou 350002, China;Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University, Fuzhou 350002, China;Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University, Fuzhou 350002, China;Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University, Fuzhou 350002, China;Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University, Fuzhou 350002, China;Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University, Fuzhou 350002, China |
| |
| Abstract: | In this paper, we used the spatial analysis tools in ArcGIS10.0 and Logistic regression model imbedded in SPSS 19.0 to identify the impact of human-activity and geographical factors on forest fires, based on the coordinates of human-caused fires during 1974-2009 and the basic geographical map. The results showed that "the distance to railway" has a significant impact on the human-caused fires. Moreover, "the dominant tree" and "the forest type" are significantly correlated with human-caused fires under 1:1 and 1:3 conditions, respectively. It was also found that the rate of random sample selection affects the parameter estimation of the model. |
| |
| Keywords: | Boreal forest Tahe area Human-caused fire geographical factors Logistic regression |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
| 点击此处可从《火灾科学》浏览原始摘要信息 |
|
点击此处可从《火灾科学》下载全文 |
|
