里杜湖富营养化综合评价及预测

根据里杜湖水库的水质监测及水文资料，选择评分法结合生物优势种评价法以及“源－效应”预测模型对里杜湖水库水质的营养状态进行综合评价及预测。结果表明：里杜湖水库水质已轻度富营养化，并有逐年加重的趋势。旨在正确评价和预测里杜湖水库营养状态，并为同类水库的营养状态评价及预测提供参考和借鉴，从而为水库水质管理及富营养化的控制提供科学依据。

Comprehensive evaluation and forecast of water eutrophication in Lidu Lake

According to the data of the water quality and hydrology in Lidu Lake, grading point method in combination with dominant specific method and origin-effect predictive model were adopted to evaluate comprehensively and forecast the water eutrophication in Lidu Lake. The results showed the reservoir had become eutrophicated and it will be aggravated year by year. It is the aim of the article to evalute and forecast correctly eutrophication in Lidu Lake and to offer reference for the same kind reservoirs, consquently it offers the scientific bases for the water quality management of a reservoir and the control of water eutrophication.;