| 滑坡灾害监测与预测时序分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 谢全敏,曲守宁.滑坡灾害监测与预测时序分析[J].自然灾害学报,1993,2(4):67-73. |
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| 作者姓名： | 谢全敏 曲守宁 |
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| 作者单位： | 武汉工业大学岩土和环境工程研究所 武汉
(谢全敏)，武汉工业大学岩土和环境工程研究所 武汉(曲守宁) |
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| 摘 要： | 本文提出了一种边坡滑坡时序建模预测分析方法,以AR模型为例,探讨了时序建模及其预报的基本思想,最后用AR模型对清江电站进口边坡406阻滑键监测数据建模及预报,取得了一定的成果.
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| 关 键 词： | 滑坡 灾害 预测 地质灾害 |
THE TIME SERIES ANALYSIS OF THE MONITORING AND FORECASTING OF LANDSLIDE DISASTERS |
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| Xie Quanmin Qu Shouning.THE TIME SERIES ANALYSIS OF THE MONITORING AND FORECASTING OF LANDSLIDE DISASTERS[J].Journal of Natural Disasters,1993,2(4):67-73. |
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| Authors: | Xie Quanmin Qu Shouning |
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| Abstract: | This paper presents the method of the slope safety monitoring and time series model-
ing and its forecasting.Using the AR model as an example,we probed into the basic prin-
ciple of the time series model-establishing and its forecasting.At last,we applied the AR
model to the safety monitor analysis of the 406 stop-sliding key of the enter port slope of
Qingjian Hydropower Station,and acquired some results. |
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| Keywords: | Landslide disasters Monitoring and forecasting Time series analysis Qingjian Hydropower Station |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 等数据库收录！ |
