| 震害的动态预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 金学申,刘允清.震害的动态预测[J].灾害学,1997,12(1):19-22. |
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| 作者姓名： | 金学申 刘允清 |
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| 作者单位： | 河北省地震局!石家庄，050021，河北省地震局!石家庄，050021，河北省地震局!石家庄，050021 |
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| 摘 要： | 利用多层递阶模型，在选取影响人口损失大小的动态因子的基础上，建立了可应用于未来人口损失估计的动态预测模型，并由此对中国大陆各区域未来10a的人口损失进行了预测。
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| 关 键 词： | 地震灾害 震灾预测 动态预测模型 中国 |
DYNAMIC PREDICTION FOR EARTHQUAKE DISASTERS |
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| Jin Xueshen ,Liu Yunqing, Liu Zhihui.DYNAMIC PREDICTION FOR EARTHQUAKE DISASTERS[J].Journal of Catastrophology,1997,12(1):19-22. |
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| Authors: | Jin Xueshen Liu Yunqing Liu Zhihui |
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| Abstract: | A dynamic prediction model for the estimation of life loss has been developed by the use of the dynamic system model on the basis on the selection of the dynamic factors that affect the life loss. The prediction of life loss in the coming 10 years inthe different regions in China has been made. |
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| Keywords: | Earthquake Disaster Earthquake disaster prediction Dynamic prediction model China |
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