| 灰色系统理论对大气环境质量评价和预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 王贻锋,柳知非,徐静.灰色系统理论对大气环境质量评价和预测[J].环境科学与管理,2009,34(5):162-166. |
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| 作者姓名： | 王贻锋 柳知非 徐静 |
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| 作者单位： | 青岛理工大学,环境与市政工程学院,山东,青岛,266033 |
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| 摘 要： | 把大气环境看作是灰色系统，考虑到青岛市大气环境的实际情况，利用灰色统计决策对青岛市的大气环境质量数据进行分析，得到大气环境质量保持在尚清洁水平；利用GM（1，1）模型对SO2、NO2、PM10进行模拟预测，短期预测结果表明，青岛市SO2、PM10的浓度呈下降趋势，NO2的浓度呈上升趋势。
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| 关 键 词： | 大气环境 灰色系统 预测 GM（1 1） |
Application of Gray System Theory in Evaluation and Prediction of Atmospheric Environmental Quality |
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| Wang Yifeng,Liu Zhifei,Xu Jing.Application of Gray System Theory in Evaluation and Prediction of Atmospheric Environmental Quality[J].Environmental Science and Management,2009,34(5):162-166. |
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| Authors: | Wang Yifeng Liu Zhifei Xu Jing |
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| Institution: | School of Environmental & Municipal Engineering;Qingdao Technological University;Qingdao 266033;China |
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| Abstract: | The atmosphere environment is considered as a grey system.According to the actual situation of the atmosphere environment in Qingdao,the data are analysed with the gray statistical strategy.The results show that the atmospheric environment quality was fine.The results of short-term forecast show that the SO2 and PM10 in the atmosphere of Qingdao are declining by using the GM(1,1) model,while NO2 is rising. |
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| Keywords: | GM(1 1) |
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