| 基于AHP-模糊数学法洪涝灾害风险评估 |
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| 引用本文： | 卢舒婷,吴洁,周思宇,王龙帅,王莹,邢志祥. 基于AHP-模糊数学法洪涝灾害风险评估[J]. 工业安全与环保, 2022, 48(1): 50-54. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1001-425X.2022.01.012 |
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| 作者姓名： | 卢舒婷 吴洁 周思宇 王龙帅 王莹 邢志祥 |
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| 作者单位： | 常州大学环境与安全工程学院 江苏常州213164 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家重点研发计划“南方新兴超大型城市安全风险演化规律及评估技术研究”课题(2019YFC0810701)。 |
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| 摘 要： | 以常州市主城区为例，根据地理位置、气象环境以及人口经济等统计情况，采用AHP法对常州市洪涝灾害风险进行指标分层，将致灾因子、孕育环境、承灾体、防灾减灾能力作为一级指标，下辖历史灾情等12个二级指标以及26个三级指标，并采用模糊数学法对评价集合进行归一标准化处理，得出常州市洪涝灾害现处于低风险状态。同时，对风险主因进行了分析，为常州市洪涝灾害风险管控、灾害救援提供参考。
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| 关 键 词： | 模糊数学法 AHP法 洪涝灾害 风险评估 |
Flood Disater Risk Assessment Based on AHP-Fuzzy Mathematics |
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| LU Shuting,WU Jie,ZHOU Siyu,WANG Longshuai,WANG Ying,XING Zhixiang. Flood Disater Risk Assessment Based on AHP-Fuzzy Mathematics[J]. Industrial Safety and Dust Control, 2022, 48(1): 50-54. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1001-425X.2022.01.012 |
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| Authors: | LU Shuting WU Jie ZHOU Siyu WANG Longshuai WANG Ying XING Zhixiang |
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| Affiliation: | (Department of Environmental Resources and Safety Engineering,Changzhou University Changzhou,Jiangsu 213164) |
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| Abstract: | According to the statistics of geographical location,meteorological environment and population economy,this paper takes the main urban area of Changzhou city as an example to stratify the risk of flood and waterlogging disaster in Changzhou by using AHP method,and takes the disaster-causing factors,breeding environment,disaster bearing body,disaster prevention and mitigation ability as the first class index,12 secondary indexes such as rainfall,historical disaster situation and 26 tertiary indexes under the jurisdiction,and uses fuzzy mathematics method to classify the evaluation set into a standardized treatment,finding that the flood disaster in the city is now in a low risk state.The main cause of risk is analyzed to provide reference for flood disaster risk control and disaster rescue in Changzhou. |
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| Keywords: | fuzzy mathematical method AHP method flood disaster risk assessment |
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