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Crowd dynamics discrete element multi-circle model
Institution:1. School of Chemical, Environmental and Mining Engineering, Nottingham University, Nottingham, NG7 2RD, UK;2. 2050 Consulting, 48 Imperial Hall, 104-122 City Road, London EC1V 2NR, UK;1. State Key Laboratory of Fire Science, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei 230027, China;2. Research Center for Crisis & Hazard Management, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan 430070, China;3. Shanghai Key Laboratory of Engineering Structure Safety, Shanghai Research Institute of Building Science, Shanghai 200032, China;1. Munich University of Applied Sciences, Germany;2. Technische Universität München, Germany;1. Department of Architecture and Civil Engineering, City University of Hong Kong, Kowloon Tong, Hong Kong, PR China;2. Collge of Logistic and Transportation, Southwest Jiaotong University, PR China;1. Research Center of Complex Systems Science, University of Shanghai for Science and Technology, Shanghai 200093, PR China;2. Department of Modern Physics, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei 230026, PR China
Abstract:A Discrete Element Method (DEM) technique for modelling crowd dynamics is developed. Each person is represented by three overlapping circles with a position, orientation and velocity in 2D. Contact forces between elements are modelled as well as psychological forces and motive forces and moments. Motion is then modelled in a Newtonian manner with a numerical integration time-stepping scheme. The model is tested on a single enclosure entry scenario where some model parameters are scaled. Motion is generally realistic, although areas for improvement are identified. Flow and contact forces are monitored under different scenarios. The model is then used on a multi-enclosure entry scenario. It is shown that stewarding significantly reduces contact forces and hence risk of injury. The potential for further applications is demonstrated on hypothetical scenarios on the London Underground.It is concluded that the model is reasonably realistic for dense crowd flow scenarios, but more complex situations like a supermarket would require aspects of Artificial Intelligence in the model, which is a feasible development. The three-circle representation gives a reasonable model of the 2D geometry.
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