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Feasibility of storing CO2 in the Utsira formation as part of a long term Dutch CCS strategy: An evaluation based on a GIS/MARKAL toolbox
Authors:Machteld van den Broek  Andrea Ramírez  Heleen Groenenberg  Filip Neele  Peter Viebahn  Wim Turkenburg  André Faaij
Institution:1. Group Science, Technology and Society, Copernicus, Institute for Sustainable Development and Innovation, Utrecht, University, Heidelberglaan 2, 3584 CS Utrecht, the Netherlands;2. ECN, Westerduinweg 3, Petten, the Netherlands;3. TNO Built Environment and Geosciences, Princetonlaan 6, 3508 TA Utrecht, the Netherlands;4. Wuppertal institute for Climate, Environment, and Energy, Döppersberg 19, 42103 Wuppertal, Germany;1. South China Sea Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Guangzhou 510301, China;2. Guangzhou Institute of Energy Conservation, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Guangzhou 510640, China;3. Energy Research Institute of Chinese National Development Committee, 100038;4. Institute of Rock and Soil Mechanices, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Wuhan 430071, China;5. LinksChina Investment Advisory Ltd, Shenzhen 518067, China;6. Jon Gibbons, Edinburgh University, Edinburgh EH9 3JL, UK;7. University of Exeter, Exeter EX4 4SB, UK;1. University of Luxembourg, Maison des Sciences Humaines, 11 Porte des Sciences, L-4366 Esch-Belval, Luxembourg;2. Luxembourg Institute of Science and Technology, 5 Avenue des Hauts-Fourneaux, L-4362 Esch-sur-Alzette, Luxembourg;1. Indiana University, Department of Geological Sciences, Bloomington, IN 47408, United States;2. Department of Earth Sciences, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou 300027, China;3. Energy Science, Lulea University of Technology, 97187 Lulea, Sweden;1. Energy Planning Program, Federal University of Rio de Janeiro, Centro de Tecnologia, Bloco C, Sala 211, Cidade Universitária, Ilha do Fundão, 21949-972 Rio de Janeiro, Brazil;2. Laboratory for Process Engineering, Environment, Biotechnology and Energy, University of Porto, Faculty of Engineering, Rua Dr. Roberto Frias s/n, 4200-465 Porto, Portugal;3. Centre for Environmental and Marine Studies, Department of Environment and Planning, University of Aveiro, Campus Universitário de Santiago, 3810-193 Aveiro, Portugal;4. ALGORITMI Research Center, University of Minho, 4800-058 Guimarães, Portugal;1. Department of Earth Sciences - CERI, Università di Roma La Sapienza, Piazzale Aldo Moro 5, 00185 Rome, Italy;2. Department of of Socio-Economical Analysis, Università di Roma La Sapienza, Piazzale Aldo Moro 5, 00185 Rome, Italy;3. School of GeoSciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH9 3JW, United Kingdom;1. Univ Sidi Bel Abbes, Fac. Technology, Dept. Mechanical Engineering, Lab. Matériaux et Systèmes Réactifs (LMSR), BP89, Sidi Bel Abbes 22000, Algeria;2. Univ Ouargla, Fac. Des sciences appliquées, Lab. Promotion et valorisation des ressources sahariennes, Ouargla 30000, Algeria
Abstract:This study provides insight into the feasibility of a CO2 trunkline from the Netherlands to the Utsira formation in the Norwegian part of the North Sea, which is a large geological storage reservoir for CO2. The feasibility is investigated in competition with CO2 storage in onshore and near-offshore sinks in the Netherlands. Least-cost modelling with a MARKAL model in combination with ArcGIS was used to assess the cost-effectiveness of the trunkline as part of a Dutch greenhouse gas emission reduction strategy for the Dutch electricity sector and CO2 intensive industry. The results show that under the condition that a CO2 permit price increases from €25 per tCO2 in 2010 to €60 per tCO2 in 2030, and remains at this level up to 2050, CO2 emissions in the Netherlands could reduce with 67% in 2050 compared to 1990, and investment in the Utsira trunkline may be cost-effective from 2020–2030 provided that Belgian and German CO2 is transported and stored via the Netherlands as well. In this case, by 2050 more than 2.1 GtCO2 would have been transported from the Netherlands to the Utsira formation. However, if the Utsira trunkline is not used for transportation of CO2 from Belgium and Germany, it may become cost-effective 10 years later, and less than 1.3 GtCO2 from the Netherlands would have been stored in the Utsira formation by 2050. On the short term, CO2 storage in Dutch fields appears more cost-effective than in the Utsira formation, but as yet there are major uncertainties related to the timing and effective exploitation of the Dutch offshore storage opportunities.
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