A System Dynamics Model for the Environmental Management of the Sepetiba Bay Watershed, Brazil |
| |
Authors: | Alexandre de C Leal Neto Luiz F L Legey Marcela Cecilia González-Araya Silvio Jablonski |
| |
Institution: | Energy Planning Programme, COPPE, Federal University of Rio de Janeiro, PO Box 68565, Rio de Janeiro, RJ - 21945-970, Brazil. |
| |
Abstract: | In the recent past, the Sepetiba Bay watershed, located in the Rio de Janeiro State, Brazil has experienced rapid industrial
development and population growth, as well as an increase in water pollution and environmental degradation. To analyze the
complex interrelationships among the agents affecting the Sepetibza Bay environment, a system dynamics model was developed.
The model builds on extensive studies conducted for the watershed, and simulates different hypotheses of economic growth and
of demographic expansion. Thus, it can be used as a decision support tool for the identification of investment priorities
and policy analyses under various scenarios. In order to provide a comprehensive approach to the environmental management
of the Sepetiba Bay watershed, the model had to consider only the most relevant aspects of the behavior and the key interactions
among agents operating in the watershed. In this article, the model’s structure is presented together with some of its main
results. |
| |
Keywords: | System dynamics Environmental management Policy analysis Sepetiba Bay Brazil |
本文献已被 PubMed SpringerLink 等数据库收录! |
|