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Study on Simulating Spatial Distribution and Varying Patterns of Urumqi's Population
作者姓名:Chen  Xuegang  Yang  Zhaoping  Zhang  Xiaolei
作者单位:[1]Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi Xingjing 830011, China [2]Graduate School, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100039, China
基金项目:中国科学院知识创新工程项目
摘    要:In this paper, an approach to simulate the spatial distribution of urban population is proposed using urban land use and population statistical data through the geographical information systems (GIS). Then, the spatial population distribution of Urumqi as a case is simulated by the approach mentioned above and its varying patterns are analyzed by the raster population surface. As a result, producing raster population surface is more accurate and natural than the traditional choropleth map of population density. Concerning the spatial population distribution of Urumqi, the population density declines from south to north and the population distribution mainly presents' "T-type", the population distribution presents multicentre agglomeration and the population distribution of the districts shows different features. The population density varies significantly with the increase in the distance from central business district (CBD). Finally, it is found in this paper that the development history of districts, terrain and traffic road are main factors that have an influence Urumqi's population distribution. This paper tries to provide more accurate population data for the plan and management of urban land, traffic and public facilities in order to enrich the researches on urban population distribution.

关 键 词:模拟研究  空间分布  城市人口  变化模式  地理信息系统

Study on Simulating Spatial Distribution and Varying Patterns of Urumqi's Population
Chen Xuegang Yang Zhaoping Zhang Xiaolei.Study on Simulating Spatial Distribution and Varying Patterns of Urumqi''''s Population[J].Chinese JOurnal of Population Resources and Environment,2007,5(3):31-36.
Authors:Chen Xuegang  Yang Zhaoping  Zhang Xiaolei
Abstract:In this paper,an approach to simulate the spatial distribution of urban population is proposed using urban land use and population statistical data through the geographical information systems(GIS).Then,the spatial population distribution of Urumqi as a case is simulated by the approach mentioned above and its varying patterns are analyzed by the raster population surface.As a result,producing raster population surface is more accurate and natural than the traditional choropleth map of population density.Concerning the spatial population distribution of Urumqi,the population density declines from south to north and the population distribution mainly presents"T-type",the population distribution presents multi-centre agglomeration and the population distribution of the districts shows different features.The population density varies significantly with the incmase in the distance from central business district(CBD).Finally,it is found in this paper that the development history of districts,terrain and traffic road are main factors that have an influence Urumqi's population distribution.This paper tries to provide more accurate population data for the plan and management of urban land,traffic and public facilities in order to enrich the researches on urban population distribution.
Keywords:population  spatial  interpolation  distribution
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