| 城市固体废物的灰色预测与评价 |
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| 引用本文： | 陈伟国.城市固体废物的灰色预测与评价[J].上海环境科学,1996,15(1):8-10. |
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| 作者姓名： | 陈伟国 |
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| 作者单位： | 杭州大学，杭州市环保保护局 杭州 310007，杭州 310007 |
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| 摘 要： | 对城市固体废物中长期预测，由于影响因素较复杂，采用常规回归分析模型预测，一般精度较低，且要求数据充分。采用灰色预测模型，以杭州市固体放心物历年实际数据进行拟合性预测。结果表明，该模型对城市固体废物作中长期预测，其预测的准确率可达９３－９９％之间，能较好满足环境规划预测的需要。
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| 关 键 词： | 固体废物 环境规则 预测 灰色系统理论 |
Grey Prediction and Assessment of Urban Solid Waste |
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| Chen Weiguo Chen Cuizhi.Grey Prediction and Assessment of Urban Solid Waste[J].Shanghai Environmental Science,1996,15(1):8-10. |
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| Authors: | Chen Weiguo Chen Cuizhi |
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| Institution: | Chen Weiguo Chen Cuizhi |
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| Abstract: | Because the factors impact are so complicated, using the model of conventional regression analysis to predict urban solid waste production could hardly obtain precision, and it also requires adequate data. In this paper, by adopting grey prediction model, and using years actual solid waste data to predict urban solid waste production in Hangzhou City, The resuls showed that by applying this model to predict middle-term or long-term solid waste production, the rate of accuracy could reach 93%-99%, it could meet the requirement of predicting environmental planning. |
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| Keywords: | Solid waste Environmental planning Model Prediction Grey system theory |
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