河流水环境有机污染物的自组织预测模型及应用

自组织预测模型是前苏联学者伊万年科提出的一种非线性建模预测方法，它能有效地解决复杂非线性系统的数据处理和建模问题。该文应用它进行水环境有机污染物预测，以实际监测数据为基础，建立了一个河流有机物浓度预测的自组织模型，其检验样本的预测误差在５％以内 

A Selforganized Prediction Model of Organic Pollutants of Water Environment in River and Its Application

The selforganized prediction model,proposed by Russian scholar Ivakhnenko A.G.,is a kind of nonlinear prediction method and can effectively solve difficulty in the data handing and model fitting of the nonlinear complex system.This selforganization method was applied to predict organic pollutant concentration of water environment,based on the field observation data.The relative error of the predicted values of each testing sample is less than 5%.