Very low versus undetectable maternal serum alpha-fetoprotein values and fetal death

Very low maternal serum alpha-fetoprotein (MSAFP) levels (<10 ng/mL) are known to be associated with non-viable pregnancies, including conditions such as fetal death, molar pregnancies, and non-pregnancies. There has not been agreement, however, as to whether very low MSAFP levels indicate already existing fetal deaths or are actually predictive. We analysed 230 pregnancies with MSAFP levels <10 ng/mL from among 15 807 women (1.5 per cent) screened consecutively during a three-year period and identified 26 non-viable pregnancies, 22 of which were diagnosed sonographically as part of the screening process (17 missed abortions, 3 blighted ova, 2 non-pregnancies). Furthermore, 20 of these 22 pregnancies were associated with essentially undetectable MSAFP levels (<5 ng/mL). Our data indicate that pregnancies with MSAFP values <5 ng/mL are the group most strongly associated with fetal non-viability and that very low MSAFP values are not strongly predictive for fetal death.