基于三维结构分析的碳排放总量控制研究--以浙江省为例

控制碳排放总量是能源环境治理的重要手段,是高质量发展的应有之义,更是我国完成2030年前碳达峰、争取2060年前实现碳中和的必然要求,但目前国家和地方并未明确实行碳排放总量控制。本研究以浙江为例,从能源生产侧、能源消费侧、区域三个维度,分析识别出浙江省碳排放总量控制的重点和难点:能源生产侧减排的重点在于提高非化石电力占比,难点在于推进存量火电机组的碳减排;能源消费侧减排的重点在于控制新上重大产业项目排放,难点在于控制第三产业和居民生活领域碳排放;区域减排的重点在于优化产业布局和用能结构,难点在于对地区碳排放总量缺乏有效约束。并提出电力结构低碳化、重点行业控碳、试点城市率先达峰和政策协同四方面突破点,争取到"十四五"末浙江省碳排放总量得到有效控制,为全国碳排放达峰做出浙江贡献。

Total carbon emission control based on three-dimensional structure analysis:case study of Zhejiang Province

Controlling the total amount of carbon emissions is an important method of energy and environmental improvement.It is also critical for the high-quality development and China’s commitment to achieve the carbon emissions peak by 2030.However,the state and local governments have not explicitly implemented total carbon emissions control.Taking Zhejiang Province as an example,this research identified the difficulties and key points of total carbon emission control in Zhejiang,regarding region,energy production side and consumption side.In the end,four breakthrough points are suggested to reach the goal of Zhejiang’s total carbon emissions control at the end of the 14 th Five-Year Plan period,including low carbonization of power production,carbon emission control of key industries,the emission peak reached of pilot cities and policy coordination.