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城市供水管网在地震时的连通可靠性分析
引用本文:何双华,赵洋,宋灿.城市供水管网在地震时的连通可靠性分析[J].防灾减灾工程学报,2011,31(5):585-589.
作者姓名:何双华  赵洋  宋灿
作者单位:华北水利水电学院土木与交通学院,郑州,450011
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(50478094)资助
摘    要:考虑地震作用效应和管道抗力的随机特性,建立了埋地管道单元的概率预测模型,评估其在地震时的震害状态.把供水管网系统简化为边权有向网络图,通过Monte Carlo随机模拟过程,近似再现管网中各管段的破坏状态,进而分别结合图论理论方法和模糊关系矩阵法,对管网进行连通可靠性分析.由于Monte Carlo模拟算法是以管网各节...

关 键 词:概率预测模型  供水管网  图论理论  模糊关系矩阵  连通可靠性

Seismic Connectivity Reliability Analysis of Urban Water Supply Network
HE Shuang-hua,ZHAO Yang,SONG Can.Seismic Connectivity Reliability Analysis of Urban Water Supply Network[J].Journal of Disaster Prevent and Mitigation Eng,2011,31(5):585-589.
Authors:HE Shuang-hua  ZHAO Yang  SONG Can
Institution:HE Shuang-hua,ZHAO Yang,SONG Can(School of Civil Engineering and Communication,North China University of Water Resources and Electric Power,Zhengzhou 450011,China)
Abstract:Considering the randomness of seismic response and resistance of the pipe,probabilistic forecasting model was built to evaluate the pipe's earthquake disaster.Simplifying the water supply network system as an edge-weighted directed network figure,according to the seismic reliability analysis,each pipeline's damage state was simulated by Monte Carlo random process.Connectivity reliability of the network was measured by graph theory and fuzzy relation matrix method separately.Since precision probability analy...
Keywords:probabilistic forecasting model  water supply network  graph theory  fuzzy relation matrix  connectivity reliability  
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