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An integrated assessment modeling framework for assessing primary and secondary impacts from carbon dioxide stabilization scenarios
Authors:K John Holmes  J Hugh Ellis
Institution:(1) Board on Environmental Studies and Toxicology, National Research Council, 2001 Wisconsin Ave, NW, Washington, DC 20007, USA;(2) Department of Geography and Environmental Engineering, The Johns Hopkins University, 3rd Floor, Ames Hall, Baltimore, MD 21218, USA
Abstract:As the nations of the world negotiate future controls on greenhouse gas emissions, a critical environmental policy issue becomes understanding the multiple environmental consequences of these controls. Here we describe an integrated assessment model for quantifying multiple environmental impacts of large-scale environmental initiatives and apply this model to climate change mitigation. Our analysis shows that reductions in global warming will be accompanied by reductions in ozone depletion, acid rain and mercury emissions, and desulfurization waste generation. We also conclude that the largest collateral benefits from reducing global climate change may be in the developing world. This result is critical since it is the developing nations who ultimately control the long-term success of any climate stabilization strategy. This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.
Keywords:integrated assessment  secondary impacts  regional distribution
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