| Non-agricultural Population, Employment and Land： An Econometric Study in an Integrated Framework |
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| 作者单位： | Hu Weiyan,Zhang Anlu(College of Land Management,Huazhong Agricultural University,Wuhan Hubei 430070,China);Liu Caixia(Center of Land Banking in Wuhan City,Wuhan Hubei 430015,China) |
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| 基金项目： | co-supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(grant no.70773047);;Doctoral Foundation of the Ministry of Edncation(grant no.20070504020) |
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| 摘 要： | Abstract： his paper explored the relationships among nonagricultural population, employment and land in an integrated framework, taking account of rural-urban land conversion into Carlino-Mills＇s model on the regional growth. Two-stage-leastsquares and ordinary-least-squares were employed. Recent data for district （grade） cities in China （from 1999 to 2005） were used. Our results showed that： first, urban population influenced non-agricultural employment, and vice versa, but the evidence that non-agricultural employment influenced urban population was stronger than the evidence that urban population influenced non-agricultural employment; second, urban population and non-agricultural employment both influenced ruralurban land conversion, but the evidence that urban population influenced rural urban land conversion was more stronger than the evidence that non-agricultural employment did. We also found that： first, the employment from the secondary industry influenced urban population in a positive way, and vice versa, but the employment from the tertiary industry influenced urban population in a negative way, and vice versa; second, the employment from the secondary industry influenced rural-urban land conversion in a positive way, but the employment from the tertiary industry influenced rural-urban land conversion in a negative way. We can conclude that the key of urbanization is to speed up the process of non-agricultural employment, especially the employment from the tertiary industry, which might promote non-agricultural population, employment and land harmoniously.
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| 关 键 词： | 非农业人口 城市土地 计量经济学 就业 框架 城市人口 第三产业 最小二乘 |
Non-agricultural Population, Employment and Land: An Econometric Study in an Integrated Framework |
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| Authors: | Hu Weiyan Zhang Anlu Liu Caixia |
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| Institution: | 1. College of Land Management,Huazhong Agricultural University,Wuhan Hubei 430070,China
2. Center of Land Banking in Wuhan City,Wuhan Hubei 430015,China |
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| Abstract: | This paper explored the relationships among nonagricultural population,employment and land in an integrated framework,taking account of rural-urban land conversion into Carlino-Mills's model on the regional growth.Two-stage-leastsquares and ordinary-least-squares were employed.Recent data for district (grade) cities in China (from 1999 to 2005) were used.Our results showed that:first,urban population influenced non-agricultural employment,and vice versa,but the evidence that non-agricultural employment influenced urban population was stronger than the evidence that urban population influenced non-agricultural employment;second,urban population and non-agricultural employment both influenced ruralurban land conversion,but the evidence that urban population influenced rural urban land conversion was more stronger than the evidence that non-agricultural employment did.We also found that:first,the employment from the secondary industry influenced urban population in a positive way,and vice versa,but the employment from the tertiary industry influenced urban population in a negative way,and vice versa;second,the employment from the secondary industry influenced rural-urban land conversion in a positive way,but the employment from the tertiary industry influenced rural-urban land conversion in a negative way.We can conclude that the key of urbanization is to speed up the process of non-agricultural employment,especially the employment from the tertiary industry,which might promote non-agricultural population,employment and land harmoniously. |
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| Keywords: | non-agricultural population non-agricultural employment non-agricultural land |
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