| 乌鲁木齐2000年大气污染预测分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 石文忠,朱建新.乌鲁木齐2000年大气污染预测分析[J].新疆环境保护,1990,12(2):43-51. |
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| 作者姓名： | 石文忠 朱建新 |
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| 作者单位： | 新疆环保科研所，新疆环保科研所，新疆大学地理系，新疆环保科研所，新疆环保科研所 教师 |
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| 摘 要： | 乌鲁木齐大气污染总趋势日益严重。本文根据多年的大气监测数据,采用灰色系统理论 GM(1,1)模型预测了1989—2000年乌鲁木齐市大气颗粒物,二氧化硫、氮氧化物浓度的变化趋势。结果表明灰色系统模型对城市大气污染物浓度的预测具有一定的实用价值。
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| 关 键 词： | 大气污染 预测 乌鲁木齐 |
The Anal Ysis and The Forecasting OF Air Pollution in The Region of Ulumuqi Withi 2000 |
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| ENG.Shi-wenzhong Zhu-jianxin.The Anal Ysis and The Forecasting OF Air Pollution in The Region of Ulumuqi Withi 2000[J].Environmental Protection of Xinjiang,1990,12(2):43-51. |
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| Authors: | ENGShi-wenzhong Zhu-jianxin |
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| Institution: | XINJIANG INSTITUTE OF ENVIRONMENT PROTECTION SCIENCE |
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| Abstract: | The current and advance state of air pollution in the region of ULUMUQI were deseribled in the paper.The advancing ammonts of TSP, SO_2,and NO_X in atmosphere between 1989 to 2000 were forecasted by GREY SYSTEM MODEL (GM(1,1)) basted on sampling and monitoring data.Th- e results showed that the application of GM(1,1) to the analysis and fore- casting air pollution of ULUMUQI is reasonable and reliable. |
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| Keywords: | air pollution grey system mode forecasting model |
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