Geocybernetics: Controlling a Complex Dynamical System Under Uncertainty |
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Authors: | H-J Schellnhuber J Kropp |
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Institution: | (1) Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), P.O. Box 601203, D-14412 Potsdam, Germany; Fax: +49-331-288-2600; e-mail: schellnhuber@pik-potsdam.de , DE |
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Abstract: | Global change, i.e. the mega-process radically transforming the relationship between nature and human civilization since
the end of World War II, is investigated from the point of view of systems analysis. It is argued that this unbridled process
should rather be domesticated by planetary control strategies transpiring from a new science called “geocybernetics”. The
formal aspects of geocybernetic theory are sketched and illustrated in a tutorial theatre world reflecting the overall environment
and development problematic. Within this setting a straightforward operationalization of the sweeping “sustainable development”
ideal through a set of concise paradigms can be achieved. Evidence is provided that geocybernetics is actually feasible on
the basis of earth system modelling and fuzzy-control techniques. |
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