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我国入境旅游的收敛状况及原因分析
引用本文:丘萍. 我国入境旅游的收敛状况及原因分析[J]. 资源开发与保护, 2012, 0(4): 376-380
作者姓名:丘萍
作者单位:浙江旅游职业学院旅游规划系,浙江杭州311231
基金项目:浙江省社科联科普重点课题(编号:11ZD20); 浙江省旅游局科学研究项目(编号:2011ZC37); 浙江省哲学社会科学规划后期资助立项课题(编号:11HQYJ01); 杭州市哲学社会科学规划学科共建课题(编号:C11YJ20); 浙江旅游职业学院第四批青年骨干教师资助项目(编号:11QJ12)
摘    要:从经济增长收敛的视角分析我国入境旅游的均衡发展问题,选取1990—2009年我国31个省(市、自治区)的入境旅游人次数据,采用σ收敛方法检验我国入境旅游的收敛情况,并对其原因进行分析。结果表明,我国入境旅游不存在全域性收敛,东部地区存在俱乐部收敛,中部和西部地区呈发散趋势。旅游资源开发是入境旅游收敛的主要原因,突发事件对经济落后地区的短期入境旅游收敛有很大影响,旅游固定资产、人均可支配收入、旅游人力资源供给都不是入境旅游收敛的原因。

关 键 词:入境旅游  σ收敛  俱乐部收敛  原因分析

Inbound Tourism Convergence and Causes Analysis in China
QIU Ping. Inbound Tourism Convergence and Causes Analysis in China[J]. , 2012, 0(4): 376-380
Authors:QIU Ping
Affiliation:QIU Ping(Tourism Planning Department,Tourism College of Zhejiang,Hangzhou 311231,China)
Abstract:In the perspective of the economic growth convergence,this paper analyzed the balanced development of inbound tourism in China.This paper collected the provincial panel data tourist arrivers from 1990 to 2009,then applied the σ-convergence to examine the convergence and analyzed the reasons.The major conclusions were as follows: The inbound tourism had no absolute convergence entirely,but there were club-convergce in eastern China,divergent trend in central China and western China.Tourism resources development played main role in the inbound convergence,unexpected events had a great short-term infuence to backward areas,tourism assets and disposable income and tourism human resources didn′t the reason for inbound tourism convergence.
Keywords:inbound tourism  σ-convergence  club-convergence  causes analysis
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