| GM(1.1)模型在水磨河水体污染预测中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 尚修虎,何秉宇.GM(1.1)模型在水磨河水体污染预测中的应用[J].新疆环境保护,2006,28(4):14-18,46. |
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| 作者姓名： | 尚修虎 何秉宇 |
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| 作者单位： | 新疆大学资源与环境科学学院,乌鲁木齐,830046 |
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| 摘 要： | 以水磨河，搪瓷厂桥，七纺桥，联丰桥，米泉桥4个监测断面，以近6a来的BOD3、DO的环境监测值为依据，应用灰色理论建立GM（1．1）模型，对各断面冬季（10月-3月），夏季（4月-9月），全年的BOD5、DO浓度进行预测，并在此基础上进一步分析了水体污染变化的原因。
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| 关 键 词： | GM(1.1)模型 水磨河 水体污染预测 |
| 文章编号： | 1008-2301（2006）04-0014-05 |
| 收稿时间： | 2006-11-13 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006-11-13 |
The Application of GM(1.1) Model Is about Water Pollution Forecast in The Shuimo River |
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| SHANG Xiu-hu,HE Bing-yu.The Application of GM(1.1) Model Is about Water Pollution Forecast in The Shuimo River[J].Environmental Protection of Xinjiang,2006,28(4):14-18,46. |
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| Authors: | SHANG Xiu-hu HE Bing-yu |
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| Institution: | Resources and Environment Science Institute of Xinjing University, Ummqi 830046, China |
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| Abstract: | This passage is based on the six-year environment supervise data which is from Tangcichang bridge,Qifang bridge,lianfeng bridge and Miquan bridge-The four supervise section of Shuimo river,and build GM(1.1) model with grey theory,and forecast winter,summer annual BOD5,DO consistency.Then,analyze the reason to water pollution. |
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| Keywords: | GM(1 1) model Shuimo river water pollution forecast |
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