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Do industrial incidents in the chemical sector create equity market contagion?
Institution:1. INCEIF, The Global University of Islamic Finance, Lorong University A, 59100 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia;2. Bank of New York Mellon Asset Management, One Wall Street, New York, NY 10286, USA;1. Merck & Co., Inc., 2000 Galloping Hill Road, Kenilworth, NJ 07033, USA;2. Wiklund Research & Design, Inc. (WR&D, now a UL LLC company), 300 Baker Ave, Concord, MA 01742, USA;3. Med-ERRS Inc.,200 Lakeside Dr, Horsham, PA 19044, USA
Abstract:IntroductionThis paper examines a number of US chemical industry incidents and their effect on equity prices of the incident company. Furthermore, this paper then examines the contagion effect of this incident on direct competitors.MethodEvent study methodology is used to assess the impact of chemical incidents on both incident and competitor companies.ResultsThis paper finds that the incident company experiences deeper negative abnormal returns as the number of injuries and fatalities as a result of the incident increases. The equity value of the competitor companies suffer substantial losses stemming from contagion effects when disasters that occur cause ten or more injuries and fatalities, but benefit from the incident through increasing equity value when the level of injury and fatality is minor.ConclusionsPresence of contagion suggests collective action may reduce value destruction brought about by safety incidents that result in significant injury or loss of life.Practical ApplicationsThis research can be used as a resource to promote and justify the cost of safety mechanisms within the chemical industry, as incidents have been shown to negatively affect the equity value of the not just the incident company, but also their direct competitors.
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