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农业旱灾频发区旱灾恢复力评估方法研究——以鲁西北地区为例
引用本文:李福夺,杨兴洪.农业旱灾频发区旱灾恢复力评估方法研究——以鲁西北地区为例[J].湖南环境生物职业技术学院学报,2014(4):22-27.
作者姓名:李福夺  杨兴洪
作者单位:贵州大学管理学院,贵州贵阳550025
基金项目:贵州省教育厅基金项目(编号:12JD022)
摘    要:鲁西北地区是我国农业旱灾的频发区,该地区的旱灾具有发生频率高、影响范围广的特点,严重影响了当地的农业生产和经济发展.在这种情况下,尝试构建合理的旱灾恢复力评估模型来对该地区农业旱灾灾后恢复力进行综合测评并以此为依据制定减灾策略就显得十分必要了.本文运用AHP通过建立相对完善的指标体系,从自然环境、国民经济、社会援助和政府组织四方面对鲁西北地区旱灾恢复力进行分析评估,创建起比较符合实际的评估模型,以期为鲁西北地区抗旱行为提供辅助决策.图1,表5,参7.

关 键 词:鲁西北地区  农业旱灾  恢复力评估  AHP

Study on Assessment Methods of Drought Resilience in the Agriculture Drought-prone Area Take the Northwest of Shandong Province as an Example
LI Fu-duo,YANG Xing-hong.Study on Assessment Methods of Drought Resilience in the Agriculture Drought-prone Area Take the Northwest of Shandong Province as an Example[J].JOurnal of Hunan Environment Biological Polytechnic,2014(4):22-27.
Authors:LI Fu-duo  YANG Xing-hong
Institution:(School of Management of Guizhou University, Guiyang,550025 China)
Abstract:The northwest of Shandong Province is the drought-prone area in China. The drought dis- aster there is characterized with high frequency and wide range influence, which also has brought bad effect on the agriculture production and economic development. In this case, it is necessary to construct a reasonable model to comprehensively assess the drought resilience in the area. This paper, applying AHP to establish relatively perfect index, evaluates the northwest of Shandong area from the perspective of na- ture environment, national economy, social assistance and government organization. A reasonable model of drought resilience is brought up to resist drought, lfig. ,5tabs. ,7refs.
Keywords:the Northwest of Shandong Province  agriculture drought disaster  resilience assessment  AHP
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