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气候变化背景下小兴安岭天然林的模拟研究
引用本文:延晓冬,赵士洞,符淙斌.气候变化背景下小兴安岭天然林的模拟研究[J].自然资源学报,1999,14(4):372-376.
作者姓名:延晓冬  赵士洞  符淙斌
作者单位:1. 中国科学院大气物理研究所, 北京 100029; 2. 中国科学院自然资源综合考察委员会, 北京 100101; 3. University of Virginia, Virginia, Charlottesville, V A 22903 USA
基金项目:中国科学院重大项目,自然科学基金,王宽诚优秀博士后奖励基金
摘    要:建立的林窗模型NEWCOP,被证明适合于模拟小兴安岭天然森林的分布、生长和演替,并可用于跟踪现有森林的生长和演替动态。在GISS2xCO和GFDL2xCO气候变化情景下对现有林分的模拟实验显示:小兴安岭森林对气候变化具有敏感性;尽管森林对不同气候变化情景的响应明显不同,但基本趋势是一致的,即蒙古栎等阔叶树在森林中将占越来越大的比例

关 键 词:气候变化  小兴安岭  森林  林窗模型
收稿时间:1999-04-27

How should the Xiao Hinggan Mt.Forests change with potential climate change:A simulation study
YAN Xiao dong,ZHAO Shi dong,FU Cong bin,Shugart H.H.,YU Zhen liang.How should the Xiao Hinggan Mt.Forests change with potential climate change:A simulation study[J].Journal of Natural Resources,1999,14(4):372-376.
Authors:YAN Xiao dong  ZHAO Shi dong  FU Cong bin  Shugart HH  YU Zhen liang
Institution:1. Institute of Atmospheric Physics, CAS, Beijing 100029, China; 2. Commission for Integrated Survey of Natural Resources, CAS, Beijing 100101, China; 3. University of Virginia, Virginia, Charlottesville, V A 22903 USA
Abstract:The Proposed Model,forest gap model NEWCOP(Northeast China Woods Competition Occupation Processor),has been proved to be able to simulate distribution,growth and succession of forests in Xiao Hinggan Mountains.It also can be app lied to simulate the dynamics of standing forest in Xiao Hinggan Mountains.Simulating forest with GISS 2xCO2 and GFDL 2xCO2 climate change scenarios indicated that forests in Xiao Hinggan Mountains are sensitive to climate change.There are very different responses of standing forest to different climate change scenarios,but the basic trend is similar:more and more deciduous trees may replace standing Korean pine.
Keywords:climate change  Xiao Hinggan Mountains  forest  gap model
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